The Ontario Exodus: Interprovincial Migration Report (2024–2025)
New interprovincial migration estimates show Ontario posted a net loss of -48,404 residents in 2024–2025. See where people moved, which routes are trending, and what it means for long-distance moving costs.
The hard numbers (inbound vs outbound)
These figures summarize interprovincial migration (moves between provinces/territories). Latest-year estimates may be revised as new data is finalized. :contentReference[oaicite:1]{index=1}
- Counts reflect interprovincial migrants (province/territory-to-province/territory moves).
- “Annual” migration tables are commonly reported as July 1 → July 1 reference years.
- Latest-year values are often preliminary and may be revised when finalized.
Where is everyone going?
The “Alberta Advantage” remains the headline story. High-volume corridors to Alberta can also create more competitive long-distance pricing on certain dates due to return-trip (backhaul) capacity.
| Destination | Est. volume* | Popular routes |
|---|---|---|
| 1. Alberta | ~26,000 | Calgary, Edmonton |
| 2. British Columbia | ~16,000 | Kelowna, Victoria |
| 3. Quebec | ~12,000 | Montreal, Gatineau |
| 4. Nova Scotia | ~8,000 | Halifax |
| 5. New Brunswick | ~5,000 | Moncton, Fredericton |
| Other notable destinations | varies | Manitoba, Saskatchewan, PEI, Newfoundland & Labrador |
*Estimates shown as rounded directional volumes for readability; for exact origin→destination flows, see Statistics Canada interprovincial migration tables.
Why are they leaving?
Based on ZenMove quote-request patterns, three practical drivers show up repeatedly:
- Housing affordability: Families compare mortgage/rent tradeoffs and often choose prairie metros where space and inventory are less constrained.
- Remote/hybrid flexibility: People keep Ontario income while relocating — especially toward smaller cities with lower carrying costs.
- Life-stage moves: Downsizing, caregiving, retirement, and “reset” relocations away from GTA price pressure.
How to save money on an Ontario → out-of-province move
- Compare corridor pricing (not just “distance”). Toronto→Calgary can price differently than Ottawa→Calgary.
- Ask about backhaul dates (return-trip capacity can mean lower rates).
- Be flexible by 3–7 days if possible — it can widen the pool of available trucks.
FAQ
Joining the movers?
Compare long-distance quotes (and ask about backhaul dates) to avoid paying peak corridor pricing.
Source: Statistics Canada interprovincial migration tables (annual/quarterly origin-destination estimates).